Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 299.964947 340.471257 385.823617 440.627697 505.407302 579.966528 672.892022
2025-01-19 229.186882 278.707135 339.185615 419.440041 524.593844 659.752602 850.060485
2025-01-26 205.428660 261.858763 335.055444 438.910210 585.742007 791.116204 1109.858195
2025-02-02 191.062828 253.117304 337.727715 464.787614 656.718978 946.284857 1438.177034
2025-02-09 172.885818 235.967717 325.396879 465.901119 689.881083 1049.820993 1710.686874
2025-02-16 155.055513 216.768140 307.064087 454.308023 699.864771 1116.385925 1935.236673
2025-02-23 141.049776 201.416803 292.264614 445.468192 711.751421 1186.802465 2183.859855
2025-03-02 133.608769 195.018742 290.179546 456.433580 758.463668 1327.731088 2613.152151
2025-03-09 124.854144 185.618517 282.130563 455.913481 783.947268 1432.943856 2998.626825
2025-03-16 115.504114 174.371125 269.825183 446.159547 790.137117 1500.085247 3317.006990
2025-03-23 109.173111 167.441163 263.973501 447.142933 817.121259 1616.293758 3798.902116
2025-03-30 101.790314 158.141188 253.150139 437.459836 820.724137 1681.134908 4167.017086
2025-04-06 96.040966 151.334335 246.382828 435.362708 841.404216 1793.955764 4732.830560
2025-04-13 88.046750 140.110916 230.828131 414.350770 817.951383 1795.301231 4960.017297
2025-04-20 86.408749 139.819839 235.053956 433.538158 888.049243 2052.040020 6165.233038
2025-04-27 85.607517 140.915659 241.904240 459.020302 977.923730 2389.615766 7889.227938
2025-05-04 81.889486 136.414557 237.645256 460.116785 1008.372653 2567.198641 9102.699471
2025-05-11 77.076415 129.554983 228.218710 448.701145 1004.990835 2641.896962 9918.199231
2025-05-18 72.956523 123.725851 220.375945 439.995914 1007.410091 2736.573363 10906.307837
2025-05-25 71.165788 122.178480 220.985268 450.794245 1064.696923 3031.567416 13194.672847
2025-06-01 68.381372 118.531956 216.998759 450.282091 1090.361512 3226.365824 15123.252124
2025-06-08 64.950001 113.416944 209.578558 440.676765 1088.134818 3319.452192 16525.381741
2025-06-15 62.712583 110.513395 206.592501 441.645203 1117.713970 3545.252386 19099.452764